Seattle Football HQ / Postgame

Conference Championship · 2026-01-25 · Lumen Field

SEA 31 LA 27

Seattle wins

The breakdown

What happenedSeattle on both sides of the ball

SEA offense

SEA defense

EPA per play

+0.182

+0.297

Success rate

47.8%

51.7%

Pass EPA

+0.476

+0.481

Rush EPA

-0.281

+0.041

Explosive play rate

10.4%

23.3%

Third down

53.8%

12.5%

Sacks

3 taken

1 made

Turnovers

0 lost

0 won

Play callingHow each side called it

Seattle

Neutral early-down pass rate	51.4%
Pass rate over expected	+1.3
1st down pass rate	43.3%
2nd down pass rate	75.0%
3rd down pass rate	76.9%
Shotgun rate	53.7%
Avg depth of target	8.2
Play action rate	30.0%
Screen rate	7.5%
Pre-snap motion	70.2%
No-huddle rate	3.0%
Avg box faced on runs	7.1
Runs into 8+ box	34.6%
Blitzed on	22.5%

Los Angeles (Rams)

Neutral early-down pass rate	52.9%
Pass rate over expected	+0.4
1st down pass rate	51.6%
2nd down pass rate	73.7%
3rd down pass rate	87.5%
Shotgun rate	48.3%
Avg depth of target	12.6
Play action rate	27.0%
Screen rate	0.0%
Pre-snap motion	58.3%
No-huddle rate	3.3%
Avg box faced on runs	6.6
Runs into 8+ box	0.0%
Blitzed on	13.5%

How Seattle lined up

Personnel groupings

	plays	pass	EPA
11 personnel (3 WR)	30	83%	+0.356
12 personnel (2 WR)	28	50%	+0.041
13 personnel (1 WR)	7	0%	+0.137

Formation

Shotgun	34	+0.343
Under Center	31	+0.063
Pistol	2	-0.694

How Los Angeles (Rams) lined up

Personnel groupings

	plays	pass	EPA
13 personnel (1 WR)	29	48%	+0.318
11 personnel (3 WR)	17	94%	-0.184
12 personnel (2 WR)	14	64%	+0.838

Formation

Under Center	31		+0.490
Shotgun	29		+0.091

Swing playsThe five that moved it most

Q4
04:59

(4:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle to 18-T.Ferguson (21-D.Witherspoon).

+18.1% win probability for SEA · -2.830 EPA

Q1
12:51

(12:51) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 22-R.Shaheed to LA 25 for 51 yards (31-D.Williams).

+13.2% win probability for SEA · +4.570 EPA

Q2
00:25

(:25) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [8-J.Verse].

+12.2% win probability for SEA · +3.610 EPA

Q2
00:44

(:44) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to LA 22 for 42 yards (3-K.Curl).

+10.6% win probability for SEA · +2.850 EPA

Q4
05:06

(5:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 15-K.Mumpfield (21-D.Witherspoon).

+9.8% win probability for SEA · -1.410 EPA

Seattle offenseUsage, production, and a grade

Quarterback	DB	C/A	Yds	TD/INT	EPA	CPOE	Grade
Sam Darnold QB	39	25/36	321	3/0	+0.462	8.7	91

Skill	Snaps	%	Production	Grade
Kenneth Walker III RB	42	63%	4/4 for 49 · 19 car 62 · 1 TD	55
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	55	82%	10/12 for 153 · 1 TD	91
George Holani RB	23	34%	3/4 for 27 · 3 car 4	30
Cooper Kupp WR	52	78%	4/6 for 36 · 1 TD	85
Rashid Shaheed WR	38	57%	1/3 for 51 · 1 car 0	70
AJ Barner TE	64	96%	2/3 for 13	39
Jake Bobo WR	13	19%	1/2 for 17 · 1 TD	-
Sam Darnold QB	67	100%	2 car -5	-

Seattle defenseUsage, production, and a grade

Player	Snaps	%	Production	Grade
DeMarcus Lawrence LB	45	74%	1 sack · 1 hit · 1 TFL · 2 tkl	90
Nick Emmanwori DB	58	95%	3 PD · 5 tkl	89
Devon Witherspoon DB	60	98%	2 PD · 6 tkl	84
Riq Woolen DB	52	85%	2 PD · 2 tkl	80
Ernest Jones LB	61	100%	7 tkl	66
Drake Thomas LB	36	59%	5 tkl	55
Uchenna Nwosu LB	30	49%	1 hit · 1 tkl	54
Leonard Williams DL	52	85%	1 hit · 1 tkl	54
Byron Murphy II DL	37	61%	4 tkl	48
Eric Saubert TE	0	0%	3 tkl	40
Julian Love DB	61	100%	3 tkl	40
Tyrice Knight LB	11	18%	2 tkl	29

Los Angeles (Rams) quarterback

	DB	C/A	Yds	TD/INT	EPA	CPOE	Grade
Matthew Stafford QB	35	22/34	365	3/0	+0.462	6.2	91

Seattle drivesEvery possession

7 plays, 81 yards

Touchdown

12 plays, 66 yards

Field Goal

4 plays, 11 yards

Punt

3 plays, 2 yards

Punt

6 plays, 79 yards

Touchdown

5 plays, 7 yards

Punt

1 plays, 17 yards

Touchdown

9 plays, 65 yards

Touchdown

8 plays, 24 yards

Punt

12 plays, 44 yards

Punt