Seattle Football HQ / Postgame

Divisional Round · 2026-01-17 · Lumen Field

SEA 41 SF 6

Seattle wins

The breakdown

What happenedSeattle on both sides of the ball

SEA offense

SEA defense

EPA per play

+0.245

-0.456

Success rate

54.7%

33.3%

Pass EPA

+0.277

-0.481

Rush EPA

+0.175

-0.413

Explosive play rate

17.0%

6.7%

Third down

40.0%

50.0%

Sacks

2 taken

2 made

Turnovers

0 lost

3 won

Play callingHow each side called it

Seattle

Neutral early-down pass rate	42.9%
Pass rate over expected	-13.1
1st down pass rate	25.0%
2nd down pass rate	52.6%
3rd down pass rate	40.0%
Shotgun rate	35.9%
Avg depth of target	9.1
Play action rate	21.1%
Screen rate	10.5%
Pre-snap motion	49.1%
No-huddle rate	5.7%
Avg box faced on runs	7.2
Runs into 8+ box	30.3%
Blitzed on	26.3%

San Francisco

Neutral early-down pass rate	50.0%
Pass rate over expected	+4.5
1st down pass rate	56.0%
2nd down pass rate	70.0%
3rd down pass rate	66.7%
Shotgun rate	63.3%
Avg depth of target	8.0
Play action rate	15.8%
Screen rate	5.3%
Pre-snap motion	60.0%
No-huddle rate	5.0%
Avg box faced on runs	6.8
Runs into 8+ box	9.1%
Blitzed on	10.5%

How Seattle lined up

Personnel groupings

	plays	pass	EPA
11 personnel (3 WR)	17	53%	+0.430
12 personnel (2 WR)	17	35%	+0.229
21 personnel (2 WR)	13	15%	-0.128
22 personnel (1 WR)	4	25%	+0.306

Formation

Under Center	34	+0.107
Shotgun	18	+0.526
Pistol	1	-0.104

How San Francisco lined up

Personnel groupings

	plays	pass	EPA
21 personnel (2 WR)	29	45%	-0.374
11 personnel (3 WR)	28	86%	-0.438
22 personnel (1 WR)	2	0%	-2.585

Formation

Shotgun	37	-0.581
Under Center	22	-0.248
Pistol	1	-0.413

Swing playsThe five that moved it most

Q1
14:41

(14:41) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 15-J.Jennings pushed ob at SF 44 for 4 yards (42-D.Thomas).

-5.6% win probability for SEA · -0.440 EPA

Q1
04:24

(4:24) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 88-J.Tonges to SF 42 for 11 yards (13-E.Jones; 21-D.Witherspoon). FUMBLES (13-E.Jones), RECOVERED by SEA-20-J.Lo

+5.5% win probability for SEA · -4.370 EPA

Q1
05:55

(5:55) (Shotgun) 26-Z.Charbonnet left guard to SF 13 for -2 yards (53-D.Winters).

-5.0% win probability for SEA · -1.910 EPA

Q1
02:45

(2:45) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 22-R.Shaheed. PENALTY on SF-36-M.Sigle, Defensive Pass Interference, 23 yards, enforced at SF 31 - No

+4.1% win probability for SEA · +1.970 EPA

Q2
01:51

(1:51) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 19-J.Bobo to SF 20 for 16 yards (36-M.Sigle).

+4.0% win probability for SEA · +2.040 EPA

Seattle offenseUsage, production, and a grade

Quarterback	DB	C/A	Yds	TD/INT	EPA	CPOE	Grade
Sam Darnold QB	19	12/17	106	1/0	+0.277	11.5	75

Skill	Snaps	%	Production	Grade
Kenneth Walker III RB	33	62%	3/3 for 29 · 19 car 116 · 3 TD	80
Velus Jones Jr. RB	11	21%	6 car 10	12
Cooper Kupp WR	39	74%	5/5 for 60	94
Zach Charbonnet RB	8	15%	5 car 20	40
Rashid Shaheed WR	22	42%	0/2 for 0 · 2 car 27	14
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	38	72%	3/4 for 19 · 1 TD	43
Robbie Ouzts RB	10	19%	0/1 for 0	-
Jake Bobo WR	13	25%	1/1 for 16	-
AJ Barner TE	42	79%	1 car 2	-

Seattle defenseUsage, production, and a grade

Player	Snaps	%	Production	Grade
DeMarcus Lawrence LB	28	47%	1 sack · 3 hit · 2 TFL · 1 PD · 3 tkl	98
Leonard Williams DL	36	60%	1 sack · 2 hit · 1 TFL · 1 tkl	92
Ernest Jones LB	51	85%	1 PD · 1 INT · 5 tkl	92
Drake Thomas LB	42	70%	1 TFL · 6 tkl	79
Riq Woolen DB	44	73%	2 PD	74
Coby Bryant DB	59	98%	1 PD · 4 tkl	73
Devon Witherspoon DB	51	85%	1 PD · 4 tkl	73
Nick Emmanwori DB	51	85%	1 PD · 3 tkl	69
Tyrice Knight LB	9	15%	4 tkl	48
Brandon Pili DL	16	27%	3 tkl	40
Boye Mafe LB	27	45%	3 tkl	40
Jarran Reed DL	27	45%	2 tkl	29

San Francisco quarterback

	DB	C/A	Yds	TD/INT	EPA	CPOE	Grade
Brock Purdy QB	29	15/27	124	0/1	-0.589	-2.9	5
Mac Jones QB	4	2/4	4	0/0	-0.660	-18.3	-

Seattle drivesEvery possession

10 plays, 49 yards

Field Goal

6 plays, 19 yards

Touchdown

3 plays, 8 yards

Punt

10 plays, 75 yards

Touchdown

7 plays, 36 yards

Field Goal

6 plays, 47 yards

Touchdown

5 plays, 37 yards

Touchdown

3 plays, 1 yards

Punt

3 plays, 9 yards

Punt