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GIMME THAT BALL

3 TOUCHDOWNS

Seattle controlled possession, owned the second half, and JSN turned the afternoon into a fantasy holiday.

SEA 31
Final
ARI 7
36:33Seattle possession
381–151Total yards
67–47Offensive plays
24–0Second half

What happenedSeattle took the game away after a 7-7 first half

The Week 2 concern was whether Seattle's offense would leave the defense on the field all afternoon again. The exact opposite happened. Seattle ran 67 plays, held the ball for 36:33, and limited Arizona to 47 offensive snaps.

The score was tied 7-7 at halftime. Seattle then scored 24 unanswered points. Drew Lock finished 19-of-26 for 235 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. The offense added 40 rushing attempts, which kept Arizona from getting the possession volume it enjoyed in Week 1.

The headline
Ball control

Seattle owned possession by more than 13 minutes and ran 20 more plays.

The mismatch
JSN

9 catches, 155 yards, three touchdowns, including an 82-yard score in the first quarter.

The defense
151 yards

Arizona averaged 3.2 yards per play and never scored after halftime.

The big change
No takeaway crutch

Turnovers were even at one each. Seattle won by 24 anyway.

Prep sheet auditWhat was true, what was not, and what still needs charting

Open the original Week 2 Game Prep Sheet. The pregame page stays untouched so the receipts stay honest.

01

Arizona starts by feeding Trey McBride

Hit, contained

McBride still led Arizona with eight catches, but Seattle held him to 41 yards. He scored Arizona's only touchdown. The volume showed up without the explosive production.

02

Brissett gets the ball out before pressure arrives

Outcome hit

Brissett finished 17-of-28 for only 95 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Seattle clearly killed the efficiency. Exact time-to-throw and pressure answers need charting before assigning the mechanism.

03

Arizona's guards shuffle bodies against Seattle's interior

Charting needed

The team result was dominant, but the box score does not tell us whether Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy were the specific reason. Keep this one open until pressure data posts.

04

Watch the snap count and possession battle

Nailed it

This became the game. Seattle went from 48 offensive plays in Week 1 to 67 in Week 2, held the ball for 36:33, and kept Arizona to 47 plays. The defense never had to survive another 65-plus snap afternoon.

05

Lock gets an early first-down play-action throw to JSN

Result hit

The exact play-action trigger still needs charting. The larger idea landed immediately. Lock hit JSN for an 82-yard touchdown on Seattle's first scoring drive, then found him for two more touchdowns after halftime.

06

Seattle keeps handing it off into a crowded front

Patience paid

Seattle ran it 40 times for 146 yards. The 3.7 yards per carry were modest, but the volume helped create the possession advantage and let Seattle close the game on its terms.

07

JSN starts winning immediately

Absolutely

Eight-two yards for the first touchdown. Then seven yards for the second. Then 12 yards for the third. Final line: nine catches, 155 yards, three touchdowns.

08

Arizona keeps reaching second-and-short

Charting needed

The final efficiency tells us Arizona did not live on schedule for long, but down-and-distance frequency needs the full play-by-play audit before calling this one.

09

One-score fourth quarter means watch turnover margin

Did not trigger

Seattle entered the fourth quarter up 17-7, so the one-score condition was already gone. Turnovers finished 1-1. Unlike Week 1, Seattle did not need a turnover advantage to finish the game.

10

Special teams and short fields decide it if Arizona hangs around

Did not matter

Arizona did not hang around. Seattle created separation with normal offensive possessions and defensive control, which removed the exact late-game special-teams scenario we were watching for.

Prediction leaderboardWeek 2 only · actual score SEA 31, ARI 7

Each team's prediction error is shown separately, then added together. Lowest total miss wins.

ActualSEA 31ARI 7Kendall takes Week 2.
Rank
Name
Pick
SEA +/-
ARI +/-
Total off
1
Kendall P.Week 2 leader
24-6
-7
-1
8off
T2
Jesse P.
24-10
-7
+3
10off
T2
KC A.
24-10
-7
+3
10off
T2
Barry P.
24-10
-7
+3
10off
5
Matt M.
22-9
-9
+2
11off
6
Josh F.
24-13
-7
+6
13off
7
Steve M.
19-13
-12
+6
18off
Group average 23.0-10.1
SEA -8.0 · ARI +3.1 · 11.1 total off
HQ model 22.8-18.6
SEA -8.2 · ARI +11.6 · 19.8 total off

Jesse's fantasy victory lap

JSN: 9 · 155 · 3

There are good fantasy days, and then your Seahawks WR1 scores every Seattle receiving touchdown while your real team wins by 24.

33.5Standard
38.0Half PPR
42.5Full PPR

Point totals use 0.1 per receiving yard and six points per receiving touchdown, with no yardage bonuses.

What changed from Week 1The win mattered, but the way Seattle won mattered more

Week 1 offense
48 plays

Seattle survived a low-volume offensive night against New England.

Week 2 offense
67 plays

The offense stayed on the field and gave the defense room to breathe.

Week 1 formula
+3 turnovers

The fourth-quarter takeaway avalanche decided the opener.

Week 2 formula
381–151 yards

Seattle won through possession and efficiency with turnovers even.

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